Finality Rules

How signals become verdicts. Why most proposals never reach finality.

What is a Signal?

A signal is a proposal generated by King intelligence. It represents a directional hypothesis derived from on-chain and market features.

Signals contain:

  • Direction — LONG, SHORT, or NEUTRAL
  • Confidence — Model certainty (0-100%)
  • Features — On-chain inputs (fees, mempool, funding, hashrate)
  • Thesis — Natural language reasoning

A signal alone authorizes nothing. It is merely a candidate for validation.

What is a Verdict?

A verdict is a finalized decision that has survived the full validation pipeline. Only verdicts authorize capital deployment.

A verdict is earned when:

  • Swarm validators achieve consensus on structural integrity
  • Miners expend compute attempting to break the signal
  • Signal survives adversarial perturbation within bounds
  • Minimum work threshold is met

Capital does not move on signals. It moves on verdicts.

How Finality is Earned

Stage 1: Proposal

King generates signal envelope with direction, confidence, features, and thesis. Signal enters UNCONFIRMED state.

Stage 2: Swarm Vetting

Swarm validators independently evaluate signal structure. Each agent votes CONFIRM, DISSENT, or ABSTAIN with reasoning. Integrity score calculated. High dissent flags structural weakness.

Stage 3: Miner Attack

Miners expend compute attempting to find counterexamples. Witness proofs demonstrate robustness under perturbation. Counterexample proofs identify minimal deltas that flip the signal.

Stage 4: Finality Decision

Based on accumulated evidence, verdict is issued:

  • ● HARDENED— Signal survived, ready for execution
  • ★ REWARDED— Position closed profitably, rewards distributed
  • ○ REJECTED— Signal failed validation, no execution

State Machine


    ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
    │                   SIGNAL LIFECYCLE                       │
    └─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

    ┌──────────────┐
    │  PROPOSED    │  ← King generates signal
    └──────┬───────┘
           │
           ▼
    ┌──────────────┐
    │ UNCONFIRMED  │  ← Awaiting swarm vetting
    └──────┬───────┘
           │
           ▼
    ┌──────────────┐
    │   VETTED     │  ← Swarm approved, miners working
    └──────┬───────┘
           │
           ├─────────────────┬─────────────────┐
           │                 │                 │
           ▼                 ▼                 ▼
    ┌──────────────┐  ┌──────────────┐  ┌──────────────┐
    │   HARDENED   │  │   DEGRADED   │  │   REJECTED   │
    │   (execute)  │  │ (weak conf)  │  │ (no execute) │
    └──────┬───────┘  └──────────────┘  └──────────────┘
           │
           ▼
    ┌──────────────┐
    │   RESOLVED   │  ← Position closed
    └──────┬───────┘
           │
           ▼
    ┌──────────────┐
    │   REWARDED   │  ← Profits distributed
    └──────────────┘


    TRANSITIONS:
    ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
    PROPOSED → UNCONFIRMED     : Signal envelope complete
    UNCONFIRMED → VETTED       : Swarm integrity > threshold
    VETTED → HARDENED          : Miners confirm robustness
    VETTED → DEGRADED          : Weak but not fatal
    VETTED → REJECTED          : Multiple counterexamples
    HARDENED → RESOLVED        : Position closed
    RESOLVED → REWARDED        : PnL > 0, rewards distributed

Why Most Signals Never Become Verdicts

The validation pipeline is intentionally adversarial. Most proposals fail before reaching finality.

High Swarm Dissent

When validator agents disagree, structural weakness is indicated. Signals with >40% dissent rarely achieve finality.

Close Counterexamples

Miners finding small perturbations that flip the signal indicate fragility. Low-distance counterexamples trigger rejection.

Insufficient Work

Minimum compute threshold must be met. Signals cannot harden without adequate miner participation.

Low Pass Rate

Witness proofs with poor pass rates indicate signal instability under perturbation. Consensus is required.

Why Speed is Secondary to Conviction

This system does not optimize for signal frequency or speed. It optimizes for decision quality.

A single high-conviction verdict that survives adversarial testing is worth more than many fast, untested signals.

Traders who need speed over conviction should look elsewhere. This protocol exists to produce verdicts worth trusting.

Signals are proposals.
Verdicts are earned.